Blog

NFTRH+ / Stock Market, US

Stock Market to Yellen

Stock Market to Janet Yellen:  "I dare you to talk tough about Fed Funds rates.  I double dare you!" SPY is at our NFTRH+ target, which does not mean it…

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December 15, 2014
NFTRH

NFTRH 321 Out Now

A good report that departs from some of the nuts and bolts (so much so that I forgot to include the usual currency segment, which we have frankly had nailed…

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December 14, 2014
Inflation & Deflation / Notable Public Posts

Is Inflation Oversold?

First, for all you right minded wording detectives out there, you are absolutely right... inflation is not rising prices and deflation is not dropping prices.  Also, deflation is not two…

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December 12, 2014
NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

SPY Updated

Frankly, the more unwieldy this hyper frenetic market gets, the less inclination I have to do NFTRH+ updates, because the volatility has a funny way of breaking charts (with associated…

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December 12, 2014
Interest Rates

Yield Curve Today

Okay, everybody to the other side of the boat!  Risk goes off today in the casino as all durations drop and the curve rises.  Thank you Doctor Bernankestein for the…

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December 12, 2014
Precious Metals

Silver vs. Gold

Just an FYI that silver is still leading gold on the short-term and the ratio is above the 50 day moving average.

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December 12, 2014
Commodities

Crude Oil More Over Sold Than 2008, 2001

Crude oil is more over sold by monthly RSI than it was in either 2008 or 2001.  Amazing.  Now if only my oil man will get the memo.  My suspicion…

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December 11, 2014
Interest Rates

Yield Curve Today

Risk goes flying to 'OFF' as the consumer is happy, small business optimism is the highest its been in 7 years and it all good!  Really, 'as good as it…

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December 11, 2014
Macro Data

2 Horsemen

Here are the Gold-Silver ratio and Uncle Buck, riding somewhat disjointedly together.  Assuming they will continue to ride together in the near term, which one is going to down correct…

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December 11, 2014
NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; SPY

Per the regular update this morning, the EMA 10 (2056) was noted as key resistance on the S&P 500.  Translating that to a bear trade on the SPY, we find…

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December 11, 2014
NFTRH Interim Updates

NFTRH; Stock Market / Precious Metals

US Stock Market

After a whipsaw on Tuesday the market made a hard move down yesterday.  Amid degrading indicators like bond spreads and sentiment, the Dow and S&P 500 declined over the last 3 days from all time highs.

Our parameters between normal and abnormal are very tight.  Let’s check up on them.

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December 11, 2014