3 Amigos (SPX/Gold, Long-term Yields & Yield Curve) Updated w/ edit
It has been a while since we've had a 3 Amigos update because a) Italy and global tariffs noise aside, nothing much has changed with the macro and b) I…
It has been a while since we've had a 3 Amigos update because a) Italy and global tariffs noise aside, nothing much has changed with the macro and b) I…
We focus on the S&P 500 because of its broader market participation and on Tech, Semi and Small Caps for their leadership indications. But the Dow, which many lay people…
First, a little more context for yesterday's update about items that would correlate well with a strong USD. Those were the Small Caps, which do a higher proportion of domestic…
A combo macro update and stock idea... We have shown the positive correlation between Small Cap stocks and the USD, and in September 2017 reviewed a correlation between Retail (XRT)…
It's time again for a look inside US market sectors. Choosing your sectors is more important than ever right now, with currency, interest rate and potentially trade tariff sensitivity hard…
Gold stocks are not responding well to the deflationary whiff in the air and I continue to think that is because they got caught up with the inflation crowd (gold…
Well, the Bull continues to rampage through the China Shop and here are this morning's headlines. The Hulbert thing is sentiment related as he noted Nasdaq market timers were over…
VIX gaps up on residual Bull in a China Shop fears and spends the whole day declining as traders realize the knee jerk for what it was. The brewing trade…
Ha ha ha, I just like posting the featured image above. Despite a rough start, long accounts and short accounts are green this morning. But it is notable that the…
Following is the opening segment of this week's edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 504. For months now we have been tracking a divergence in the key cyclical…
Just getting around to the promo now (6:53 my time), which means no promo. Just a good and comprehensive market report, as usual. Best of its kind, really. Okay, a…
Well, most of my longs are in the red today (a few are bucking the red tide), and the shorts? Well, they are still green. So it gives me an…
Gold is breaking down from a short-term bear flag below the moving averages. That December low was a higher low to the one before it and to remain intact gold…
A simple daily chart of DBC, which tracks the CRB index fairly well. DBC is cracking the SMA 50 today on the global trade uproar. We have noted CRB in…