Yield Curve Today
The 10-5-2 spread is rising with nominal yields reversing to up. A little risk off'y to go with junk bonds, which are quite risk off'y. For reference, here is the…
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December 1, 2014
10-2 Yield Curve w/ Gold
Here is the big picture view of the 10yr-2yr Treasury yield spread with gold shaded in the background. People who successfully get through this bear market in gold will have…
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December 1, 2014
NFTRH; Econ Data, Markets and Gold
So the Swiss gold vote caused a sizable ruckus in gold and silver overnight. This morning there is a nearly as sizable recovery in the metals.
The Swiss vote is an important hype component to get behind us and a positive reversal today would be notable, given the already over bearish sentiment profile (cue Citi’s Willem Buiter with a hysterical rant against gold leading in to the Swiss vote).
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December 1, 2014
NFTRH 319 Out Now
It's a global game of Whack-a-Mole (currency devaluation) and in this game certain countries and economic zones make sense in some ways. Japan for instance may be viewed as USA…
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November 30, 2014
Yield Curve Today
It's in a risk 'OFF' alignment with all durations dropping but the curve rising. Meanwhile, here's the chart of the 30 vs. the 5 year spread. Obviously risk is…
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November 28, 2014
Small Cap Leadership Kaput
It's a monthly chart and these guys move like molasses on a cold winter day. But we might wonder how long it may take for the stock market's loss of…
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November 28, 2014
NFTRH; Risk Profile
We have a developing potential for a stock market upside blow off on the table for reasons explained previously. With this update I want to present the indicators that argue to the contrary and ask us to manage risk. I cannot predict which way the chips will fall (no pun intended) but I can continue to put up indicators for guidance.
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November 28, 2014
Gold vs. Oil
First let's preface by stating that I have a dislike for gold sector pom pom wavers as evidenced by this post at Biiwii: Huey, Dewey & Louie. Second, let's ask…
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November 28, 2014
NFTRH; Oil to Target, Now What?
Per the simple measurement of this chart and others like it we have used, we find WTI crude oil at target this morning.
Let’s remember that targets are not stop signs, they are objectives based on pattern measurements.
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November 28, 2014
Happy Thanksgiving
Happy Thanksgiving dear NFTRH subscribers and website readers. See you on Friday.
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November 27, 2014
SOX Index, 2 Ways
Way 1 is the short-term view showing the wild recent history of a huge drop, instigated by one chip company's dour projection and then a whole media hype pig pile. …
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November 26, 2014
NFTRH; Key ETF Charts
A snapshot of current daily technicals…
Precious Metals
GLD is just above very tentative support. Does not mean much however, until it closes above the SMA 50.
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November 26, 2014
TLT & TLT-SPY
The long bond fund TLT has looked just fine, as we had been noting in NFTRH ETF updates during its bowl-like pattern. It's now broken above it. Daily MACD and…
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November 25, 2014
Regarding the Semi’s
I did not make the point clear in the previous post but as NFTRH subscribers may recall, it is the Semi Equipment companies (they that supply the chip makers with…
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November 24, 2014
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