NFTRH+; Energy

Ref. the bullish bounce pattern in crude oil we noted in NFTRH 536. The target for WTI crude is around 60 (oil is currently around 54). So assuming that the…

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Precarious Energy Sector

For me - and NFTRH in general - Energy has been an 'avoid' all year. Currently, XLE is on a daily chart breakdown that it tried and failed to remedy…

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NFTRH; Energy and Interest Rates

Last week we noted XLE's attempt to break above the SMA 50. In NFTRH 457 we noted its unsurprising failure. Today I want to look closer, starting with the daily…

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NFTRH+; XOM

On Sept. 1, 2015 we looked ahead on both XOM and the Energy sector in general (XLE).  XOM went on to bottom at the projected support area, as did the…

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NFTRH+; Energy Sector Updated

This NFTRH+ update is sent to the entire list as it has more general considerations than just as a trade. Last year we began managing a 'look ahead' to XLE's…

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vs. SPY

I created the title and then had a flashback to Spy vs. Spy… :-)

spyvspy

Anyway, here are some daily charts of other items vs. SPY.  I am getting nudged in the direction of ‘inflation trade’ and as part of that I might need to concede that the US stock market may not go the way of the bears with inflation in the system, post-Goldilocks. Several of my long positions are in alignment with a potential ‘inflation trade’, including US manufacturing/exporters.  I still hold SPY short.  Ouch, but it’s more than fine; the 2016 out performers are seeing to that.

Here are relevant markets vs. SPY, beginning the EM’s, which we long ago noted were out performing.  EEM-SPY is doinking the SMA 200 for the first time today.

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NFTRH+; Daily XLE @ Target (public)

There is a bigger picture situation, the bottom of which we caught right on.  That would be per this monthly chart at the green long-term support line to the channel…

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NFTRH+; Energy Sector Short and Long-term Views Updated

Updating the short and long-term views of XLE and sending to the entire list as it is a sector of interest to so many economies and markets and thus, of macro concern.

XLE Daily broke above the key resistance level yesterday and assuming we have a weekly close above it tomorrow, that is now support.  Indeed, it is tentative support now but I kept it red to play devil’s advocate.  A reasonable measurement from the pattern is 64-65.  That is for the traders among us.

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NFTRH+; Crude Oil & Energy

As you know, we have the energy sector (XLE) as an ongoing situation from both long-term (monthly view, for investors) and short-term (daily, for traders). Crude Oil fund USO is…

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