Multi-Market Update
Add the US dollar to the list of items that are in question and on the move. The green circles show the higher highs and higher lows made by USD since the May low. In June it spiked down, tested that low and then shot higher.
Add the US dollar to the list of items that are in question and on the move. The green circles show the higher highs and higher lows made by USD since the May low. In June it spiked down, tested that low and then shot higher.
Also from yesterday's pre-market update (incl. 1st chart below)... We noted 42 to 43 as the initial support per Tuesday’s NFTRH+ update on FXI. “FXI is getting to a point…
I currently own 3 components of the venerable Dow 30 index, so today is fine. But the markets were driven down on China hype on Friday and up on same…
Stock Markets
Interesting developments in the markets this morning. Apparently momentum-fueled markets are getting knocked down by some hype from China pertaining to authorities allowing shorting of Chinese stocks. That is not fundamental to anything, but it is a shot across the bow to over confident bullish momentum players the world over. In true momo fashion, they are knee jerk selling in response.
China, in a few pictures (courtesy of TradingEconomics.com): China GDP Annual Growth (through 2014)... China GDP Annual Growth trend projection... China Producer Prices... China Interest Rate... China Loan Growth.. China…
While featuring good calls that I have failed to personally take advantage of (can't buy everything and my focus has been on Biotech and Specialty Pharma for available risk funds),…
Wax On (US Jobs), Wax Off (China Trade Data)
Friday’s and Today’s global markets give a clear picture of cyclical (stock markets) vs. counter-cyclical (gold).
Friday was US ‘jobs’ at +257,000, above expectations. The stock market was positive for much of the day until it reversed. Gold got hammered.
Sorry, I couldn't resist the headline. D for Dragon. The Templeton Dragon fund, my preferred actively managed way to be long China/Asia, is declining within the would-be Handle of the…
With reference to an earlier public post showing the EEM breakout today, you may recall that I use EMF for Emerging Market investment and TDF for China/Asia. Both are managed by Marc Mobius of Templeton.
In the current policy and media stoked market environment, anything is possible. It’s the wonderful, magical world of hands-on policy making. 5 years after the financial crisis, but still not enjoying a ramping economy like the good old (and long gone) days of the last great secular bull market (RIP 2000)? Just sit back, relax and let the man in charge control the image.
Here is the chart we have been using in NFTRH, showing inflation protected T bond fund TIP vs. regular T bond fund TLT. This ratio has been bottoming for months…