Plan in Action, BSX Edition
As an example of how I am going about this bubble, my main risk management tool is to make sure I am routinely taking profits in the ones that boom…
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January 9, 2018
A Humble Suggestion to @realDonaldTrump
The president did his latest stock market pompom tweet... Me... Have a good weekend. I've got some writing to do after a really interesting and really gainful week. I don't…
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January 5, 2018
SPX Q4 Top? I Was Wrong
I have been wrong on many things and I'll be wrong on more. It's part of being human, and the financial markets love to rub our noses in our pathetic…
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December 30, 2017
Still Watching the Semis and Market Leadership
We began our little exercise back in November, noting a dangerous MSM article pumping the views of a fund manager who promoted the great relative value the Semi Equipment stocks,…
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December 26, 2017
Semiconductor Bounce, On Cue
Well, if you could not tell by the VIX 'Micro Blips' theme noted in the previous post, the market is predictable enough. On Thursday we noted that Semi was due…
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December 18, 2017
Semi Bullish?
As an email from Bespoke entitled "Cyclical Indicators Soar" hits my inbox, I thought I'd update a cyclical indicator of another kind. You know, the friggin' cyclical indicator that preceded…
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December 14, 2017
NDX Bounce
[edit] I shorted the bounce. What the hell, worth a try. I am not so sure big tech will get off that easy, where are couple hard down days are…
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December 5, 2017
Quant Edges on SPX
If you know me you know that I am a chart guy, a psychology guy and an all too human guy. Well, there are other guys out there who are…
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December 5, 2017
Semi Equipment: Any Questions?
Back on November 21 I noted that MarketWatch was playing the usual mainstream media role of bringing people to the party way too late and indeed, endangering them. They put…
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December 4, 2017
3 Global Markets That Could Indicate an Interim Correction
Here are a few global ETFs with little room to drop in order to avoid daily chart technical breakdowns. That does not mean the end of the larger up trends,…
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December 1, 2017
GILD: Daily Chart Support
Though not positively aligned with a rising long-term interest rate environment, maybe BioPharma has anticipated the bump in yields and bottomed. We'll see. But one stock we've tracked in the…
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November 30, 2017
Taking 34% on QCOM
The goal was to buy the ridiculous washout on media hype and then sell fair value . A value was established at $70/share by Broadcom, with its takeover offer. I…
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November 27, 2017
Taxes, Macro Signals, Seasonality, US Stocks and Gold Miners
While politicians hammer out the details it is generally accepted that corporations and by extension the investor and asset owner classes are targeted for benefits under the coming Republican tax…
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November 24, 2017
NFTRH 474 Excerpt on Medical Devices
I've been posting a bit publicly about the sector so I may as well put the below excerpt up as well. Aside from the usual charts it was really just…
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November 21, 2017
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