FOMC
Overall economic activity appears to have picked up after edging down in the first quarter. Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low.…
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June 15, 2022
CME Group considers .75% in the bag
FOMC to raise the funds rate by .75% It's actually not big news as last week CME Group traders had crept up to 20% odds that the Fed was going…
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June 14, 2022
FOMC, hot off the press
With CME, you and me all expecting .5% hike that's a given. The wording will be interesting, but we all know the bond market is forcing them to do what…
May 4, 2022
FOMC aside, maybe the real news comes next week
There will be inflation headlines next week The Fed's 'decision' (ha ha ha) is in the bag. They are finally going to do what this chart has been demanding they…
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May 3, 2022
Eggheads tardy in doing the right thing
FOMC finally to get a bit more serious about its hawkish stance After delaying and probably hoping against hope it would not have to do this, the Fed has to…
May 2, 2022
NFTRH 697, out now
Just doing its job keeping us right with the markets' (plural) probabilities as usual. NFTRH 697, out now. For "best of breed" top down analysis of all major markets, subscribe…
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March 13, 2022
NFTRH 696, part 4
The final segment of NFTRH 696. US Stock Market (TA) Here is a look at the relative performance of some US sectors. Healthcare, Utilities, Staples and Pharma are considered more…
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March 5, 2022
Jawbones on parade
As the market rises, Fed jawbones emerge on cue But it's more than just stocks, check out the 2yr yield below. That's the real driver. You see, into the last…
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February 9, 2022
Economic Eggheads of the oval table speak…
I wrote the title before the release and don't know what the January FOMC statement will say. My guess? No policy change (hold today, hike anticipated in March) with maybe…
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January 26, 2022
“The Fed is likely…”
As FOMC meets to discuss what everybody knows... The Fed is likely to signal a March interest rate hike and that further policy tightening is coming "The Fed is likely..."…
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January 25, 2022
Speed readers at the ready; November FOMC Statement
Translation: We inflated out of panic beginning in Q1 2020 and we are still inflating, but at a tiny increment less. Furthermore, the committee stands ready to continue the inflationary…
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November 3, 2021
Bond market to buy the news?
FOMC is set to cease bond buying The worst kept secret in the financial world is that the Fed is going to taper the bond buying macro manipulation that kick…
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November 2, 2021
Tapering “may soon be warranted”
FOMC statement So there you have it... The Federal Reserve is committed to using its full range of tools to support the U.S. economy in this challenging time, thereby promoting…
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September 22, 2021
Gold/Silver Ratio: “Slowly I ‘toined…”
The turn upward in the Gold/Silver Ratio has brought a degree of market upset The question now is whether that is all. Was the GSR simply forecasting Evergrande and associated…
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September 22, 2021