Time to Not be Greedy on Crude Oil

Selling Crude Oil bear fund SCO here, on the gap fill at the 62% retrace level and lateral resistance.  Oh, and let's throw in an overbought 120 min. RSI for…

Comments Off on Time to Not be Greedy on Crude Oil

Oil Working Out Well

After the IBM stinker I could use something that is working; one of those is the short I took against crude oil, as noted in NFTRH a couple weeks ago. …

Comments Off on Oil Working Out Well

NFTRH; Post-Tomahawks & Jobs

An eventful day.  The Trump administration is playing its cards and scaring half of the world (not just Russia) about its willingness and capability to act.  This focuses attention on…

Comments Off on NFTRH; Post-Tomahawks & Jobs

T/A and Sentiment in Crude Oil

It seems that I don't post very much on oil (or Natural Gas, for that matter).  These are covered each weekend in NFTRH; but yes it's true, I give oil…

Comments Off on T/A and Sentiment in Crude Oil

NFTRH+; A Look-Ahead on Crude Oil

We have been noting that crude oil is in a bullish looking pattern, but right up against resistance.  Here is a clearer view of that situation.  Resistance (red line) is…

Comments Off on NFTRH+; A Look-Ahead on Crude Oil

About That S/T Top in Crude Oil

First of all, it is not a top in crude oil; it is a potential top that has so far held initial support at its neckline.  Secondly, if it does…

Comments Off on About That S/T Top in Crude Oil

Crude Oil Looking Gross

This pattern in USO is not at all pleasing.  Interestingly, it comes just as the 'Golden Cross!' (of the 50 MA above the 200) hype was about to rev up. …

Comments Off on Crude Oil Looking Gross

Gold Ratio Charts

Gold vs. Commodities is still intact, but Gold-Oil has nearly been cut in half from its highs (I think oil is over baked, but...).  That is a building fundamental pressure…

Comments Off on Gold Ratio Charts

NFTRH; Gold Stocks, USD and the ‘Inflation Trade’

Here we play the short-term technical game again despite the gold sector running against its own fundamentals (i.e. as the ‘inflation trade’, including mining cost input oil, continues higher).  At some point this will matter.

But on the other side of the coin are price, momentum and technicals.  A Monday open can be a tricky thing, but as of this moment GDX is in a posture to break the most recent consolidation.

(more…)

Comments Off on NFTRH; Gold Stocks, USD and the ‘Inflation Trade’

A Reversal w/ a Lot of Energy

In pre-market there was some hype surrounding the Doha 'failure' to fix prices in oil.  Failure?  That's a victory for the free market and it turns out, those of us…

Comments Off on A Reversal w/ a Lot of Energy