Charts of the Day…
Gold vs. Oil... Silver vs. Oil... Gold vs. Commodities... And finally, an important one; Silver vs. Gold...
Gold vs. Oil... Silver vs. Oil... Gold vs. Commodities... And finally, an important one; Silver vs. Gold...
For some downtrodden items, that is. A downturn in the GSR and its fellow horseman the USD could provide some relief for the markets that have done the most poorly…
Actually it was out much earlier but I had to get it in the can and run this morning. So now I am back and here to tell you that…
A snapshot of current technical status…
GLD made a bearish breakdown below the equiv. of gold 1180. To even think about repairing the technicals, GLD would have to get above 115 at a minimum (gold above 1180).
A technical snapshot of key ETF’s…
GLD has bounced from critical support (equiv. of gold 1180). MACD triggered up is positive.
Well, here came the short covering rally in the precious metals. By calling it that I don’t mean that it cannot turn into something more, but today was most assuredly driven by short covering as the US dollar unwound some of its speculative sponsorship. One can assume that large speculators took it on the chin on both ends, in the USD and in gold/silver as the Commercial traders had been aligned increasingly bearish and bullish, respectively.
There is a problem with biiwii.com’s server this morning and I was unable to do the Wednesday morning Key ETF update without constant interruptions. In its place this week we’ll simply go with a general update by email.
In response to a subscriber’s request, I am pleased to announce the addition of a simple yet helpful new aspect to the NFTRH service that will be of value to subscribers and potential subscribers who do not always have the time or inclination to wade through the whole detailed NFTRH report each week.
The NFTRH service will now include clear, uncluttered charts (as follows) focused on a daily time frame for strategic ETF’s. This is an addition (at no extra charge) to the already well rounded service that includes the detailed weekend letter and interim email/website updates during the week.
We now provide handy and unbiased short to intermediate technical signals for gold (GLD), silver (SLV), gold stocks (GDX), silver stocks (SIL), commodities (DBC), broad US markets (SPY), Europe (EZU), emerging markets (EEM) and China (FXI). ETF content is subject to change as their strategic value changes.
This singular aspect of the new NFTRH represents a clearly defined focus on my most basic management tool and capability, i.e. nominal technical analysis simply portrayed with a clear and concise message that is free of detailed theoretical and opinion content.
In the interest of simplicity there will be little talk of support, resistance, volume and measured objectives in this segment of the service. In short, all we want to know with these charts is ‘are they on bull, bear or neutral signals?’ Very mechanical, very unbiased.
On to our first (complimentary) daily technical report…
GLD is on a bear signal with MACD triggered down, below zero and price below a short term downtrend line and the 50 day moving averages.
Here is what the US Fed did to the currency it is supposedly a steward of yesterday. The USD plunged below an important support level. If this breakdown holds below 80.50, it measures to the mid-70’s. Enter an ‘inflation trade’, in which we’d look to fan out from the precious metals and include other commodity and global stock items.
Current gold ratio setups, a real world view of ratio analysis 'White Paper' As the Cyprus drama and other macro events play out and distort normal macro economic signals to…
Broad Market Comment Regarding the segment in NFTRH 229 that included the chart showing the divergences between the CCI commodity index and the S&P 500, a subscriber felt I may…
Broad Market With Europe up this morning and the US market closing yet again right at resistance yesterday (Dow at the top of its Reverse Symmetrical Triangle and SPX/NDX at…