TIP, TLT and Their Messages, 1 Week on…

[edit] Man, I am a typo making machine when I am in a hurry…  :-(

A little over a week ago we had a subscriber update (now public) on TIP, TLT and some signals for the markets.  Let’s update the charts from the update.

Nominal TLT and TIP continue with their “bullish slant” by the weekly view.

tlt.tip

The ratio between them, an inflation expectations indicator, continues to be weak but I continue to favor nominal TIP for any long-term T bond exposure due to forward inflation expectations that I expect to whip up eventually.  But this chart is indicative of the new downturn in commodities and another downturn in the ‘inflation trade’ we have expected.  It was just a bounce after all.  Weekly…

(more…)

Comments Off on TIP, TLT and Their Messages, 1 Week on…

High Yield: Risk Going ‘OFF’?

This little short-term pattern does not look too appealing as HYG looks foiled on its 3rd attempt at the 200 day moving average. High Yield vs. Treasury is dropping below…

Comments Off on High Yield: Risk Going ‘OFF’?

Healthcare Revisited

Regarding the recent posts on Healthcare, I took the profit on PFE [edit: AMGN targets higher but taking that profit too] for two reasons; 1) As noted in NFTRH 389…

Comments Off on Healthcare Revisited