Well, our work of art kept to plan for another day. The two shaded candles are the corresponding candles of interest for this week.
Yesterday HUI did exactly what we asked it to do in order to remain normal to the current plan. It dropped into the 224’s, filled the gap and has not made a lower low to the last green arrow. So it remains in a baby uptrend. I would not get too concerned about reading a rising wedge into a 30 minute chart, but it is inserted regardless to again play Devil’s Advocate.
In reviewing the second of the two HUI weekly charts of the previous update, I want to blow the view up and illustrate the symmetry between the current ‘down from neckline’ vs. the previous ‘up to neckline’.
HUI Daily Technicals
HUI got above the 50 day averages and changed the daily trend by gapping up January. It then made a consolidation handle, which found support at the EMA 50 in early February. It then became gappy as aggressive buyers chased it up to its over bought state (as of yesterday).
Today there is some turbulence. Good, an extended rally scenario would not want to see the sector fly up to excessively over bought levels all in one big gulp. HUI…
We have been working a theme lately about the mania going on in US stocks (some valuations are not overly manic but policy sure is) and also the one going on in the mirror (a fun house mirror at that) in the ugly precious metals sector.
We are in a time of utter reverence for great and powerful Oz-like people doing not so great things to the rates of interest that would be paid to savers and prudent people (Zero Interest Rate Policy or ZIRP), and doing wonderful things for leverage (substance) users, speculators and asset owners (MBS and long-term T bond buying).
A quick update on the status of the weekly view of HUI and its projected ‘W’ or ‘IHS’ bottom as noted in this week’s letter.
But first, to review the daily situation, HUI made its first close above the resistance at 230 (as noted in an update last week by a daily chart). The next important task is to take out the 50 day moving averages, which are currently 234.55 (EMA) and 241.50 (SMA).
I don’t believe today’s precious metals bounce is anything because we are talking about a market that is fixating on scrambling politicians and what ever scheme they will cook up to extend the nation’s ‘Wimpy’ lifestyle… “I’ll gladly pay you on Tuesday for a Hamburger today.”
In this week's letter it was mentioned that a safer buy point on the gold stocks (as represented by the HUI index) would be with a DAILY chart move above…
Yesterday was an impulsive looking move and something of a statement in itself. But now technically, the metals and miners need to gather themselves (after a potential pullback on profit…
The reversal from down to up yesterday morning - happening just as yesterday's NFTRH update was being written - followed through for the rest of the day and it did…
Do not take this the wrong way. I am plenty beared up at the moment, at least for a hard test of the low 300's per current analysis; and potentially…
Gold and silver downside momentum is either building into a capitulation and a bottom or the technical damage is going to be obvious. A drop below 1525 puts gold in…