For all you Energy sector sports fans out there, here is XOM near a big picture channel bottom by monthly chart. Unfortunately, Exxon Mobile has already Ex-div'd in August, but…
China is again in the news as its Caixin manufacturing index hits its lowest reading in 6 years. Dutifully, world markets decline by around 2% on average. Clicking the graphic…
Using SPY for the US market and EEM for general Emerging Markets, I’d like to illustrate what I think may be in play on the short-term.
SPY shot up to the equivalent of our first S&P 500 target around 1980. This was based on lateral resistance (not shown on the chart below) and a 50% Fib retrace. We also have an ultimate potential upside (corrective) target equivalent to SPX 2040. That is the thick red zone on the SPY chart below.
The bounce has made it to target #1. Higher potential remains at 2050, but this is a valid bounce target as well. If SPX is going toward 2050 however, that…
VIX is approaching the target of 22 per NFTRH 357. As noted in that report I have been chomping at the bit to show you this chart by an update,…
What a week; and I am not talking just about the markets! I spent all day on jury duty yesterday and by the time they finally unshackled me I saw just how volatile things had been. I also saw that my ‘bounce’ gains had evaporated into the close.
A quick roundup as one of the commitments I have this week is to go to court this morning and sit in a pool of people hoping not to get picked as a juror.
Using the SPX chart below as a guide, we see that US markets have now challenged the October lows (some held above and others poked below) and the test is on. It looks like a logical bounce is trying to get going in pre-market. Click graphic for live quotes…
The plan as best my logical mind could foresee it was for a potential Monday (Margin Monday?) swoosh down with a bounce toward broken support soon to follow. But this swoosh down would not have brought indexes so close to the October lows just yet.
[edit] I neglected to include the link and this quote... "Year-to-date, the bookings and billings reported in the SEMI North American equipment book-to-bill report indicate a solid year for the industry,"…
This post is not a call to action because all of our orientations are different. For example, a trader would have played the bounce. An investor - especially in light…
We have noted that gold vs. oil and gold vs. commodities have been improving, along with other items that are potentially positively impacting gold mining operations, slowly but surely even as the hype about the extinction of the sector became very loud.
Gold-Oil (GLD-USO)…
As CPI will attest, consumer prices are certainly not suffering at the hands of the pervasive global deflationary environment. Housing, Healthcare and other services are not easily going to give back embedded price gains. In NFTRH 356 I tried to express this in an admittedly muddled Indicators segment.
Below are some pictures of developing bear markets using weekly charts of iShares ETF’s. Some items are getting hit with the China stick, others with the Commodities stick and others with both. Regardless, they are getting hit with an ugly stick.