As the market ambles mostly sideways in its still-bullish long-term trends, risk has been rising consistently along the way. Let's not talk about valuation risk or the new administration's execution…
There are 3 Things in the title. Thing 2 is a big key to managing markets and being successful at Thing 3. Thing 1, while a consideration to the extent…
2016 was the year I finally decided to codify my niche as a psychology-focused market contrarian, putting the Alice, Red Queen and Rabbit components of NFTRH's logo right there on…
There is something about this time of year that really annoys me. What is that you ask? Well, it is the chronic need for so many market commentators to try…
A quick look across the landscape on OPEC/Oil hype day in the global markets. Public optimism in oil was already turning up pre-OPEC. A production cut would get everybody lathered…
Disclosure (which I feel, given the post's content, should be reiterated): I am not short even a single equity of any kind. I am only long selected stocks and cash…
You know who they are; they are the ones who denied and denied the ginned up bull market in US stocks that nearly tripled under the socialist regime, circa 2009-2016. …
I've made a conscious decision to pretty much move on from the silliness of Trump towers, erections, pants tents and other Trump-centric commentary after having fully wallowed in it last…
This is the opening segment to this week's edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 421, a 48 page work-through of the immediate post-Trump landscape. While we had fun…
If players are finally buying into the bearishness, now we are getting somewhere. Very simply, SPX has had a date with the 2100 (+/-) target we have had open since…
The time to be getting afraid was when the market ramped and sentiment was pinging to over bullish after the Brexit sentiment reset to over bearish had sprung the rally. …
I have not gone off the deep end and joined the "community" of boosters, promoters, pompom waving cheering squads and general cult figures who you can just tell not only…
Seriously, the longer I do this more intolerant I become with the whole financial media/services/advice complex. Stoopid MSM headlines this morning... Dollar holds gains as investors set their watches for…
I decided that it was time to take the rest of the reward for having taken the risk (and advising same in NFTRH) when it seemed most did not want…