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    • Report Archive [pw]
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    • Why the Macro?
    • Fundamental vs. Technical
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    • NFTRH FAQ
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    • Copyright
    • Terms of Service & Privacy
    • Our Tools
      • Macro Indicator: Gold-Silver Ratio (GSR)
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NFTRH+

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NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; Updating the Bond Market & Its Implications

20+ year Treasury bond fund TLT is making a potential whipsaw shakeout move back above the 200 day moving average. This in the wake of a weak GDP report. Depending…

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October 30, 2024
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NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; Upside Target For This Sector ETF

It's not one we discuss often, but as you know I've held positions in the Cloud/SaaS/Security/Remote Work space on many occasions over the last few years. Looking at the daily…

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October 28, 2024
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NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; Ideal Precious Metals Complex Pull-Back “Buy” Levels (where I would ideally cover my hedges) [w/ edit]

[edit] Half of heavy short/hedge positions (DUST) were covered for similar reason to why the position in silver was sold earlier in the week: not to be greedy. "Ideally", that…

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October 24, 2024
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NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; We Find Out Soon Whether or Not This is an Overshoot & Whipsaw

The US dollar index rammed through the target at the 200 day moving average, calling into question the current plan that favored this to be a counter-trend, short-covering rally by…

4 Comments
October 24, 2024
nftrh plus
NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; Re 10.14.24 update: “Decision Time For This Macro Indication in Bonds”

Our script was "to or through the election" for the broad bull, with a Goldilocks (disinflationary) flavor to it indicated by a counter-trend pullback in bond yields. In an NFTRH+…

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October 23, 2024
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NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; This “Value” of a Gold Miner May Be Breaking Out of It’s Base

Thanks to the fine research of Taylor Dart, who is well thought of in the sometimes seedy world of gold stock analysis, I'd like to combine that value analysis (with…

2 Comments
October 17, 2024
nftrh plus
NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; In Light of the VIX Divergence Noted in NFTRH 831… [w/ edit]

[edit] In this case by "risk-on, cyclical" I mean broad stocks. Commodity "catch-up" plays could be their own animal in the late stages, and gold stocks are counter-cyclical in their…

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October 16, 2024
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NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; Decision Time for This Macro Indication in Bonds

With a bump up in inflation expectations over the last month, Treasury bonds have dropped, which is logical. If my analysis is to prove correct and the 30yr Treasury yield…

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October 14, 2024
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NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+ / Public

NFTRH+; This Commodity Continues to Look Like a Bottom/Base [public]

[edit] I neglected to enable the password before posting, but decided to leave the post public, since subscribers have had a good head start of 8 days. Give the public…

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October 10, 2024
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NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; A Silver Stock w/ Good Prospects & a Solid Chart, & Thoughts on Silver & Miners

As to the "good prospects" portion of the title, it is due to the fundamental view of Jordan Roy Byrne. Jordan had been a subscriber to NFTRH, but I proposed…

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October 8, 2024
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NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; Another Commodity w/ a Low Risk, Multi-Rationale ‘Buy’ Setup

I am talking my book, because I just bought the bullion ETF as a bottom feed (ref. trade log). But much like the buys in Corn and Soybeans last week,…

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October 2, 2024
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NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; Rationale for Adding This Agricultural Commodity

[edit] On a quick look, Soybeans appear to be in a similar low risk setup. I am going to look into it further, and SOYB may also be added if…

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September 24, 2024
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NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; Priority Update & a Compelling View of the Gold Stock Bull Market

It is just one way of viewing the bull market, but the relationship between T-bill yields (Fed Funds proxy) and the HUI Gold Bugs index is an important one. We…

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September 19, 2024
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NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; Personal Strategy for FOMC

First off, I don't love that a majority of CME traders now expect a 50bp cut today, because it leaves wiggle room for the Fed to serve agenda, should it…

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September 18, 2024
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