Continuum to… Continue?
30-year yield threatens to rise anew Here is the daily chart of the 30yr yield. Looks like a flag breaking out to me. By converting the above to a monthly…
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May 12, 2021
NFTRH’s Signature Indicator Goes Big Time
One of NFTRH's most important indicators goes big time... Except that the big time doesn't know it, or doesn't acknowledge it. But boy, when the big time talks about it…
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April 5, 2021
Ponder the Picture
No, not that picture! The big macro view picture of the 30yr Treasury yield. Ole' Bill is lookin' good in his bond bear call so far after a recent hiccup.…
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March 30, 2021
NFTRH+; USD and the 30yr Yield Continuum
The US dollar has taken out the daily SMA 200. It's still in a major downtrend but it's also still bouncing and therefore, capable of eliminating the downtrend. To do…
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March 26, 2021
NFTRH+; 2.5%
The 30yr US Treasury bond yield has ticked the 2.5% to 2.7% target zone this morning. The big picture is exactly as we have been anticipating since the policy response…
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March 18, 2021
NFTRH+; 30yr Yield, USD & the Reflation Trades
As you know, our ultimate target for the 30yr yield is around 2.5%, at which point we'll come to a major macro decision point between failure and deflationary liquidation or…
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February 9, 2021
FOMC Translated
The FOMC Statement December 16, 2020 Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement For release at 2:00 p.m. EST The Federal Reserve is committed to using its full range of tools to…
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December 16, 2020
A Companion to the Continuum
The data sets at Yardeni.com are fabulous. You should keep it on watch and rummage through when you have spare time if you want to nerd out. The current backdrop…
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May 7, 2020
Looks like Trump will get his NIRP after all
See? Here we are racing to the bottom of the barrel along with everybody else. I guess the green trend line just about intersects ZERO or below. Subscribe to NFTRH…
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March 9, 2020
Oh Jerome?
Bond market calling... For "best of breed" top down analysis of all major markets, subscribe to NFTRH Premium, which includes an in-depth weekly market report, detailed interim market updates and…
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February 27, 2020
There Goes 2.1% on the 30 Year Yield
On January 24 we waved goodbye to 2.2% on the Continuum and today we wave goodbye to 2.1% and also the theoretical * support line. As per the NFTRH plan…
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January 30, 2020
There Goes 2.2%
The 30 year yield is below the 2.2% level. That is important because... ...this... If this keeps up it's a situation that is not positive to the inflationary, reflationary view.…
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January 24, 2020
30 Year Yield on a Key Test
A key test by one important indicator is taking place now. Back when we were gauging the potential for the reflation trades one aspect would have been for long-term yields…
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January 22, 2020
Here We Go… 30yr Yield Continuum Front & Center
Here is the thing everyone is talking about; a spike in long-term yields to the highest point yet. This chart - if you want to apply chart patterns to interest…
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October 3, 2018