Senator McCarthy: "I think at the end of the day we do not have a debt default" What, you thought the debt ceiling debate was not a Kabuki dance for…
A deflationary yield curve steepener is hinted at but not yet activated How do we know that the recent spike is a would-be deflationary yield curve steepener? We know because…
Jerome Powell speech on interest rates indicates renewed hawkishness; but is the Fed behind the curve again, as they were in taking up the inflation fighting mantle? It will be…
The 2 year Treasury bond yield is up on recently revived inflation expectations after the January Payrolls and CPI reports One has to assume that the January Payrolls report instigated…
The 2 year Treasury yield has ticked a higher high It's not what I was expecting, even after the booming January Payrolls report assured Hazel that she's got job security…
2 year Treasury bond yield continues to diverge T-bills Well, this nerd is amazed by it (and several other out of whack macro indicators), at least. The 3 month T-bill…
The 2 year Treasury yield inched up, then sagged The session ended with the 2 year Treasury yield up a teeny within the potential topping structure that we've been tracking…
30 year Treasury bond yield pulls back from 4.4% to 3.4% (on cue) I'd like to not so humbly note for public readers that long before the rising rates hysteria…
And the plan is for a bond yield pullback from hysterical highs With respect to the long end of the Treasury curve, both the 30yr (top) and 10yr Treasury bond…
The 30 year Treasury bond yield (Continuum) is 100% on the NFTRH plan The plan was set in motion when first the the 30 year Treasury yield (TYX) took out…
The 10yr-2yr Yield Curve is hinting to steepen A hint sure is not a trend change. But a hint is a hint that is still in play. If the spread…
FOMC will raise the funds rate by .75% on November 2 So says CME Group... And so says the bond market... ...as the Continuum spikes to and through our target…
CME Group traders favor a .75% Fed Funds Rate hike on November 2nd Meanwhile, inflation expectations have been cracking lately. My thesis is and has been that the Fed is…
Commodities and inflation expectations have/had been rising right along with the long bond's yield But some of the 30 year Treasury yield's fellows are dropping off, just as the hawking…