Market Psych: It’s a bear market rally, but…
The job of the bear market rally is to reset sentiment to briskly over-bullish Using the SPX weekly chart to illustrate some points about this bear market rally, which will…
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April 11, 2023
Stock market sentiment playing out as it should
Stock market sentiment became over bullish and risk spiked Here is NFTRH 745's take on stock market sentiment into this week. It is as it has been for a few…
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February 21, 2023
A reason for the stock market pullback
Market sentiment all but demanded a pullback The media are talking about interest rates, inflation and the usual reasoning that they need to report every single day to advise Ma…
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February 6, 2023
Stock market… on cue!
NFTRH 721 took technical readings of the US stock market, describing the major trends but also a short-term battle for SPX between the daily SMA 50 (resistance) and lateral short-term…
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September 9, 2022
VIX pullback within new uptrend
VIX has dropped sharply While certain sentiment indicators are bleak (contrary bullish), like the Investors Intelligence (and AAII, NAAIM, etc.) survey by way of Yardeni... ...the VIX is more of…
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March 22, 2022
Recent market sentiment retrospective as we enter 2022
Excerpted from NFTRH 687, an intro to the Market Sentiment segment... We started using the chart below in order to maintain perspective back in 2020 as we managed the recovery…
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January 3, 2022
The picture brightens, as if on cue…
Ref. yesterday's post with the oh so pensive trader with a southward pointing chart over his shoulder. Today it is a brighter picture as two calm gentlemen go about their…
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December 21, 2021
Picture = 1000 words
Click graphic, get hysterical media news (actually, I have not bothered to read it but judging by this trader's face... :-))... This guy is a classic and the waterfall stock…
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December 20, 2021
FOMO?
Market set up to go FOMO? Stock market sentiment has been very skittish at best, and flat out bearish at most. Players reacted accordingly. So is this the point of…
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October 14, 2021
NFTRH+; A Deeper Look at Sentiment
We use the basic sentiment indicators in weekly reports (AAII, NAAIM, Investors Intelligence, etc.) but my sentiment service, Sentimentrader, has daily reports that dig into more specific areas. I usually…
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April 20, 2021
Updating a Few Sentiment Indicators
This week's edition of NFTRH is more streamlined, having only shown one sentiment indicator (NAAIM) while simply noting that sentiment in general got fixed last week to a short-term degree,…
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March 10, 2021
“It’s inflation all the way, baby!”
Below is the 'Opening Notes' segment excerpted from the February 21 edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 643. The point of this segment was primarily to illustrate how…
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February 27, 2021
Another Dangerous Sentiment Indicator as ES (SPX) Sports Another Positive Pre-Market
As stock market futures climb yet again this morning, we review another dangerous sentiment indicator, the Equity Put/Call Ratio Of course it won't matter until it matters, but with the…
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December 15, 2020
Mom & Pop Precede a Market Nose Bleed
Ma should stick to baking apple pies and Pa should get back to work on the faulty alternator to the old Ford pickup, because as general market timers they are…
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November 18, 2020