Headline US stock market ETF vs. headline US Treasury market ETF The daily chart of the SPY/TLT ratio shows the broad US stock market (incl. dividends) clinging to its major…
Long-term Treasury bond fund TLT is on an attempted breakout of its own. Ref. the previous update showing the Energy sector trying to do something similar. It's a super interesting…
HUI was in positive correlation to long-term Treasury bonds (TLT) from the top in the fear trades last summer to the end of February. Then they went opposite each other…
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A subscriber asked about longer-term bond funds, which got me thinking more about a chart of TLT that I reviewed yesterday. I thought 'hmmm... if this were a stock I'd…
Daily looks in-market are not meant to be a science. It is longer trends that eventually reveal the logic of ongoing macro moves. But I do find it interesting that…
A few interesting pictures 'vs. SPY'... Gold miners have risen vs. SPY since early September. Treasury bonds, hated by absolutely everybody (except maybe readers of this website) in September have…
Folks, I have been going down a slippery slope to what now seems like a full-on flu since Sunday. So while I am semi-functional, I wanted to get some charts…
First off, you can review all of the CPI's details here, courtesy of Michael "the inflation guy" Ashton: Post-CPI Now back to the market indicators we have used to gauge…
We have reviewed TIP and TLT nominally by weekly charts as they were a previous NFTRH+ double highlight on Treasury bond funds, inflation protected (TIP) and nominal (TLT). Each continues to have a bullish slant by the weeklies.
With reference to Michael Ashton's post at Biiwii... No Strategic Reason to Own Nominal Bonds Now Mike Ashton is also known as the "inflation guy" and for good reason, his…
A week ago, in anticipation of the risk 'off' impulse in the markets, we NFTRH+'d long-term Treasury bond fund TLT. Here's the original post, unlocked. We set parameters for buying…
Note: I have a challenging day today and will be away from the market for most of the rest of the day. An alternative way (to shorting the market or…
The long bond fund TLT has looked just fine, as we had been noting in NFTRH ETF updates during its bowl-like pattern. It's now broken above it. Daily MACD and…
A snapshot of the current technical status of several key markets (a lot of charts today because macro changes seem to be in effect)…
GLD broke down from the Sym-Tri (strike 1), lost the June low (strike 2) and now would try to find support at the December low, equiv. to gold 1180. Over sold, prone to bounce but technically bearish below 120 and 123.