Goldilocks Rally Intact [w/ edit]
The Goldilocks Rally, led by Tech/Growth stocks, motors on [edit] No sooner was this posted than Q1 GDP was revised upward from 1.2% to 2%. It's stuff like that that…
3 Comments
June 29, 2023
Goldilocks, this picture shows three bears in the room and scared little girl running away from them, vintage line drawing or engraving illustration
Goldilocks
A whiff of Goldilocks, on cue... As inflation fades but the economy remains intact. Amid the Q4-Q1 broad rally projection and specifically due to our view of fading inflation signals…
Comments Off on Goldilocks
February 2, 2023
NFTRH+; Growth/Value & Tech/Broad
After adding GOOGL this morning to go along with other items I consider somewhat negatively correlated to long-term yields (DVAX, TWST, ZM, META w/ MSFT on priority watch) and thus,…
Comments Off on NFTRH+; Growth/Value & Tech/Broad
July 20, 2022
NFTRH+; Growth vs. Value
It appears that Growth/Value may have topped out with the short-term bottom and bounce in long-term yields. If yields break through and reestablish a real uptrend then insofar as we'd…
Comments Off on NFTRH+; Growth vs. Value
August 11, 2021
Decision point
As long-term yields decline... We have a headline this morning that is so in accordance with the times. Where just a few months ago the hysteria was toward inflation and…
Comments Off on Decision point
July 9, 2021
Rotation to Growth & Tech as illustrated by ROKU (w/ NFTRH 660 excerpt)
Market has been rotating back to growth from value and reflation-sensitive areas It was all about long-term interest rates and the beginnings of the at least temporary failure of the…
Comments Off on Rotation to Growth & Tech as illustrated by ROKU (w/ NFTRH 660 excerpt)
June 22, 2021
NFTRH+; Cloudy with a chance of thunder
The title is my way of saying CLOU and other growth areas have a chance to rally while bond yields drop. With the back-off in yields growth stocks are logically…
Comments Off on NFTRH+; Cloudy with a chance of thunder
June 8, 2021
Your Macro guide, the 30yr Treasury yield
30yr Treasury yield and markets/internals tied to it What markets and market internals are dependent upon an inflationary rise in long-term yields? Anyone? Beuller? For "best of breed" top down…
Comments Off on Your Macro guide, the 30yr Treasury yield
May 24, 2021
A Couple of Bear Flags…
Bear (Beer) flags in two seemingly unrelated items But are they actually unrelated? Neither of them likes the rise in long-term yields currently ongoing. So there's a common thread. The…
Comments Off on A Couple of Bear Flags…
March 29, 2021
NFTRH+; Machines Gone Wild, the Day After
Broad Markets As noted this morning to subscriber R.D. who emailed talking about the rotation to value and how it appeared machine driven. R.D.... It does seem obvious to me…
Comments Off on NFTRH+; Machines Gone Wild, the Day After
November 10, 2020
A Closer Look at Growth vs. Value Stocks
Something changed just before, during and after Armageddon '08. That something is that the impulsive rise in growth stocks vs. value stocks (2007-2009) then maintained a grinding uptrend until a…
Comments Off on A Closer Look at Growth vs. Value Stocks
August 14, 2020
The Truth About Growth vs. Value
Far be it from me to be a momentum hopped trend follower, but the charts are the charts. This article at MarketWatch that wants to be contrarian tells about how…
Comments Off on The Truth About Growth vs. Value
July 22, 2020
Value is in the eyes of the beholder
Why have Value stocks delivered frustration while over-valued Tech and Growth deliver the big gains? Well, this... And this... Call it a bubble or call it the future now. My…
Comments Off on Value is in the eyes of the beholder
July 8, 2020