Sentiment/Psychology

smart.dumb.moneyOne of my strong points is an innate understanding of human psychological behavior and as pertains to markets, within the context of the majority’s instinct to herd and have their belief systems validated.  In other words, their need to seek to feel relatively good at all times.

But these are the financial markets and if you participate you are at war with millions of other humans.  You are in a battle to attain the high ground of unbiased and clear thinking and to above all, get outside the herd and its preconceptions.  So NFTRH employs a good dose of good old fashioned knowledge of human behavior patterns and well, instinct.

Along side the more humanistic elements we use in viewing the market from an independent standpoint, NFTRH maintains premium subscriptions with Sentimentrader.com and Stockcharts.com, each of which allow us to access market sentiment data not freely available elsewhere.  While market sentiment is not usually a good timing tool, certain sentiment structures are necessary components of important market turning points.

At Sentimentrader the menu includes a full range of Public Opinion and Commitments of Traders data across precious metals, commodities and stock markets along with numerous other data for AAII, Investors’ Intelligence (II) and NAAIM.

At Stockcharts.com the menu includes AAII, II, NAAIM, Rydex fund data, a range of market breadth indicators and premium/discount (to NAV) data for gold and silver funds by way of custom Decision Point charts.