For those who don't watch this stuff as obsessively as I do, here's the June Semi.org b2b data. Oh no, b2b dropped and so did bookings! As an economic indicator…
Using the GDX and GDXJ daily charts, I thought I’d show some previous examples of bull flags so that now we can note potential bear flags. This is of course all speculation because a pattern isn’t activated until it resolves, but for reference here is an update from June 28 in which we noted several potential bull flags, which went on to resolve as expected.
The Semiconductor Equipment book-to-bill ratio for June came out last night and it remains solid. While bookings eased a bit they remained elevated and billings were the highest since 2011. So the question of whether this earnings season should be solid for Semi Equipment companies is answered; it should be because the April-June quarter was significantly better than Q1.